You will not find here the bibliographical references relating to the work presented on this site. These references are presented directly in the text by hyperlinks.
What we suggest here is a number of books designed to help those who want to expand their vision on the subject matter of this site. As with any prediction, there is rarely a consensus.
We shall classify the authors by categories, according to their approach or vision, sometimes the latter overlap. Please note that the list below is far from exhaustive.
First category: the optimistic authors.
They form the vast majority of politicians, scientists and economists. Of course, they put some conditions to ensure a long life for our civilization. The arguments they use to justify their optimism may be summarized schematically as follows:
For politicians: Their vision stops in general at the border of their area of influence and their own opinion is limited to that of their political family. Therefore their vision in space merges with that of their area of influence and their visions in time are limited by the length of their mandate. Thus, for the moment, we have no work of politicians to propose on the subject that interests us here. If some of them would nevertheless be urged to speak on the future of our civilization, their answer would in essence of this kind: "sleep in peace good people, we take care of your future and of the civilization but for that ... vote for us".
A large fraction of scientists, industrialists and economists, directly involved in the advance of progress are also part of the category of optimistic. They tell us in substance: "give us enough money for our researches, allow us to train enough bright brains and please do not block our creativity. If you do then, good people, you can sleep in peace. We will give you in return the most beautiful days and the most rewarding»
Two authors typify this kind of thinking:
Kaku, Michio : Visions: How science will revolutionize the 21st century, Anchor Books,1997 , ref 1, ref 2, ref 3
Rifkin , Jeremy: The Third Industrial Revolution: How Lateral Power Is Transforming Energy, The Economy, and The World,2012 ; ref 1, ref 2
Second category: worried observers
Let's name three authors who remind us that civilizations do not last forever. They explain how and why large and brilliant ancient civilizations have collapse. They warn us about the fact that we could follow a similar destiny.
Diamond, Jared: Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed, Viking 2005, ref 1, ref 2
Tainter, Joseph: The Collapse of Complex Societies, Cambridge University Press, 1988 (About the author and his work ref 1)
Wright, Ronald: A Short History of Progress, House of Anansi Press, 2004, (about this author and his work ref 1, ref 2)
Following these authors are some scientists who turned to the observation of our natural environment. They denounce the unacceptable harm that man caused him. Let's mention for example:
Carson, Rachel: Silent Spring, Houghton Mifflin, 1962, ref 1, ref 2
Suzuki, David and Dressel, Holly: From Naked Ape to Superspecies: A Personal Perspective on Humanity and the Global Ecocrisis, Stoddart, Toronto, 1999; ref 1, ref 2
Suzuki, David: The Sacred Balance, Greystone Books, Vancouver/Toronto, 2002; ref 1
Given the rapid world population growth and the environmental degradation, other specialists are concerned about access to food and drinking water for all people during the twenty-first century. Read for instance:
Claude & Lydia Bourguignon : Le sol, la terre et les champs : pour retrouver une agriculture saine, Ed.: Sang de la Terre, (Les dossiers de l'écologie), Paris 2010 (A propos de cet auteur et de son ouvrage ref1, ref2
Parmentier Bruno : Nourrir l’Humanité. Les grands problèmes de l’agriculture mondiale au XXI siècle ; Ed. : La Découverte, Paris, 2007
Third category: The launchers of solutions to save the planet
Several known and recognized authors have focused on a specific threat. They then propose a solution to avoid disaster. Here are some examples:
- Schedule a degrowth of the economy (Serge Latouche , Nicholas Georgescu-Roegen)
- Changing our economic paradigm (Joseph E Stiglitz)
- Adopt voluntary simplicity (Yvan Illich, Jacques Ellul)
- Set up a world government to avoid collapse of the civilization (Jacques Attali)
- Invent a new urbanism (Jacques Fresco )
- Promote the concept of transition (Rob Hopkins)
- Reduce greenhouse gas emissions (IPCC, Jean-Marc Jancovici)
-Save the oceans (RIO+20, UNESCO)
-Reduce its environmental footprint ( WWF)
Fourth category: The whistleblowers about a high risk of collapse of our civilization.
Among these there are three groups:
1°) Authors believing that sustainable development is in the realm of possibility though under certain conditions
Brown, Lester R.: World on the Edge-How to prevent Environmental and Economic Collapse,W. W. Norton & Co. (8 février 2011) (About this author ref 1, ref 2, )
Meadows, Donella, H ; Randers Jorgen; Meadows Dennis: Limit to Growth, The 30-Year Update, Chelsea Green Publishing Co ( juin 2004
2°) Authors believing that Western civilization is in danger of collapse because of a lack of energy. Nevertheless, they hope that the worst can still be avoided if drastic measures are quickly taken by the governments of industrialized countries.
Heinberg, Richard: The Party's Over: Oil, War and the Fate of Industrial Societies, Clairview, second edition, 2005 ref 1, ref 2
Heinberg, Richard: Blackout: Coal, Climate and the Last Energy Crisis, Clairview, 2009; ref 1
Heinberg, Richard : The end of growth, adapting to our new economic reality. New society publisher 2011. ( About this book ref 1)
Lovelock, James: Revenge of Gaia: Earth's Climate Crisis & the Fate of Humanity, Basic Books, 2006 ref 1, ref 2
3°) Author believing that Western civilization will collapse irretrievably, independently of what we could undertake now.
Niederer, Jacques: Effondrement puis métamorphose, ILV Edition, 2011 (About this author and his book ref 1, ref2)
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